HackerTube
HomeLongsLikedHistoryWatch laterCategoriesPlaylistsSettings

Why was Biden's win calculated to be ONE IN A QUADRILLION?

Stand-up Maths1 HN recommender · recommended in 1 month, 2020-2024
YouTube
1.3M views · 5 years ago · explainer · news

Matt Parker of Stand-up Maths examines the Texas Supreme Court filing claiming Biden's 2020 win had a one-in-a-quadrillion chance. He walks through why the statistical argument is flawed.

Cited as a mathematician's debunking of numerical claims of 2020 election fraud.

Data science & statisticsProbability & game theoryUS politics & elections#2020election#statistics#stand-upmaths#fraudclaims#probability

3 comments from Hacker News

@nick2382024 · in “Suspicious data pattern in recent Venezuelan election”

There were some pretty shit analysises of the 2020 US elections that Matt Parker covered with videos like "Why do Biden's votes not follow Benford's law?"[1] and "Why was Biden's win calculated to be 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000?"[2]. I don't know about other countries, but the amount of data that every county in every US state produces makes systematic fraud pretty much impossible. If there's literally only 3 numbers produced by the Venezuelan government, you need to be seriously incompetent to have detectable fraud because techniques like Benford's or Zipf's law need lots of individual numbers. [1]: link [2]: ▶ this video

CitesView on HN
@ehsankia2021 · in “U.S. Capitol Locked Down Amid Escalating Protests”

> Can you link me to those majority of cases? link link And this third one just shows how much of a joke some of the claims in the lawsuits are: ▶ this video Like, this is basic high school level statistics they can't even get right.

CriticalView on HN
@nitrogen2020 · in “California Public Utilities Commission fired director who exposed missing $200M”

I am replying for the sake of the hidden sibling comment: I don't watch any major media coverage of politics, but a mathematician and comedian I follow on YouTube (from a different country who presumably has no horse in the race) has analyzed some of the numerical allegations of fraud: - ▶ this video - link - link

RecommendsView on HN
Why do Biden's votes not follow Benford's Law?17:46

Why do Biden's votes not follow Benford's Law?

Stand-up Maths
3.7M views • 6 years ago
Do these scatter plots reveal fraudulent vote-switching in Michigan?18:16

Do these scatter plots reveal fraudulent vote-switching in Michigan?

Stand-up Maths
906K views • 5 years ago
Animated Voting Methods6:18

Animated Voting Methods

Unify The Vote
16K views • 9 years ago
Simulating alternate voting systems14:03

Simulating alternate voting systems

Primer
4.5M views • 6 years ago
You Can Win the Presidency With 22% of the Vote6:31

You Can Win the Presidency With 22% of the Vote

CGP Grey
8.2M views • 15 years ago
Clutching at Random Straws, Matt Parker | LMS Popular Lectures 20101:03:07

Clutching at Random Straws, Matt Parker | LMS Popular Lectures 2010

London Mathematical Society
601K views • 12 years ago
Algorithmic Redistricting: Elections made-to-order26:48

Algorithmic Redistricting: Elections made-to-order

AlphaPhoenix
584K views • 5 years ago
Democrats Need to Face Why Trump Won | The Ezra Klein Show1:23:30

Democrats Need to Face Why Trump Won | The Ezra Klein Show

The Ezra Klein Show
733K views • 1 year ago
Why Democracy Is Mathematically Impossible23:34

Why Democracy Is Mathematically Impossible

Veritasium
10.1M views • 2 years ago
The medical test paradox, and redesigning Bayes' rule21:14

The medical test paradox, and redesigning Bayes' rule

3Blue1Brown
1.4M views • 5 years ago
Was YOUR vote counted? (feat. homomorphic encryption) - Numberphile8:34

Was YOUR vote counted? (feat. homomorphic encryption) - Numberphile

Numberphile
198K views • 10 years ago
How our voting system (and IRV) betrays your favourite candidate3:35

How our voting system (and IRV) betrays your favourite candidate

The Center for Election Science
35K views • 12 years ago
Bayes theorem, the geometry of changing beliefs15:11

Bayes theorem, the geometry of changing beliefs

3Blue1Brown
6M views • 6 years ago
John Rauser keynote: "Statistics Without the Agonizing Pain" -- Strata + Hadoop 201411:48

John Rauser keynote: "Statistics Without the Agonizing Pain" -- Strata + Hadoop 2014

O'Reilly
61K views • 12 years ago
Why Your Vote Doesn't Count6:31

Why Your Vote Doesn't Count

CGP Grey
7.9M views • 15 years ago
How We Should Vote (Range Voting)6:23

How We Should Vote (Range Voting)

Undefined Behavior
43K views • 10 years ago
Protecting Privacy with MATH (Collab with the Census)12:32

Protecting Privacy with MATH (Collab with the Census)

minutephysics
451K views • 7 years ago
The Voting System That Should Replace Every Election4:27

The Voting System That Should Replace Every Election

CGP Grey
4.7M views • 15 years ago
The Bayesian Trap10:37

The Bayesian Trap

Veritasium
4.5M views • 9 years ago
The Shortest-Splitline Algorithm: a Gerrymandering Solution [Bonus Video]3:38

The Shortest-Splitline Algorithm: a Gerrymandering Solution [Bonus Video]

CGP Grey
692K views • 15 years ago